A little background on Dennis Farrell, he’s a former ESPN Radio, NBC Sports Radio Detroit host. Currently he’s a host of fantasy sports shows on http://www.foxsportsdetroit.com and NBC Sports Radio St. Louis 1280 AM. His fantasy sports show also airs on Armed Forces Radio where he is the program director. Fantasy baseball is his first love and passion but he has also been quite successful in fantasy football. Dennis’s fantasy baseball podcast was on the top 10 on iTunes for over a year and a half. If you want to get in touch with Dennis you can follow him on Twitter @Dennis77Farrell or you can email him at email@example.com.
So it that time of year where everyone is looking for draft day steals.
We all enjoyed late round production in 2013 from guys like Alshon Jeffery and Knowshon. This year I see a lot of names who are not getting any love in mock drafts some rookies and some are fantasy football vet who once have helped or even lead your team to a championship .
Here is a list of guys with low ADP (Avg Draft Position) that could become draft day steals. (Round they are being drafted. pick in said round)
DeAngelo Williams (9.12)/Jonathan Stewart(12.7)
I’m leaning toward Stewart more here all signs point to Stewart being healthy and with coach speak saying they would be happy if the Wideouts would get 12-20 rec per-game. That tells me the Offense might be more run heavy.question marks around Cam Newton and his band of misfit Wide Revisers maybe just maybe D-Will and J-Stew might payoff.
Miles Austin (14.5)
Without Josh Gordon and if Austin can stay on the field I think he has the chance to see the Endzone at least 7-8 times. Before this I had him at 6 TD.as far as Rec before the Gordon debacle I projected Miles Austin at 65 Rec now I’ll give him a bump to 72-75.
Odell Beckham Jr (13.10)
Look OBJ has a real opportunity to be the 3rd WR on this team and truly think he could sidestep Rueben Randel as the number two guy on this team. my projection- 66Rec 760Yd 7TD
Tre Mason (11.7)
Realistically Mason is a great handcuff this season but what if we tried to put the clues together..One of the best RB in college football last season,The Rams already set with Zac Stacy drafts Mason with a 3rd round pick. I would not be shocked if Mason has 120 ATT 440 Yd and 4TD.
Steve Smith (12.10)
Last season Smith netted 97 fantasy points in standard leagues this season I think you see a bit of a bump upward in his stats I’m going to guess about 60-67Rec and 7TD,Add that to the fact he is being drafted late in the 12th and early in the 13th round Steve Smith is a draft day steal.
Heres a list of other names you keep a eye out on..
DeAndre Hopkins (11.3)
Carlos Hyde (11.8)
Jerrett Boykin (11.11)
David Wilson (12.4)
Markus Wheaton (13.4)
Check out updates on my twitter account @Dennis77Farrell
If you are a fan of fantasy football podcast check out
Check out the rest of the site…
Its my Favorite time of year -Fantasy Football projection time..
This year instead of a list of my projection I wanted to try something new This year I want to play the over/under game with you.
So here are the rules I’ll list a player and a number send me a email with what you think said player will do over/under and your best guest.
Your answer Will end up in the podcast seen on The Fantasy Sports Network Channel 147 on Cable-vision /The F Word Podcast and this hit blog.
OK here we goooooo…..
1.Over/Under RG3 4 rushing TD? I’ll say over at 5 a stretch sure but he has had 7 before and I can see him doing it.
2. Over/Under Nick Foles will toss 30 TD’s this year? Every site and fantasy football magazine has Foles between 24-27 TD
I think Nick can hit the 30TD mark but I’ll stop short at 33.
3.LeSean McCoy Over/Under 45Rec? Some places have him at 50 other have him at 42-45. Myself I believe Darren Sproles
will have more of a impact on McCoy in the passing game. Under at 40Rec
4.Can Bishop Sankey Rookie Rb for Tennessee top 190 stranded league fantasy points? I’ll bite on this one and go Over on this one
I have him as one of my big sleepers and could sneak in the top 15 by years end.
5.Over/Under on games played for Ryan Mathews for 2014 is 13? I think 13 is perfect but if I had to pick one I would say Over at 14.
6. Over/Under 9 rushing TD for Doug Martin? IFFFFFFFFF Martin can stay healthy I do think he can pull it off. Martin is the real deal.
7.Reggie Wayne Over/Under 90Rec ? I’ll go over 90 but under 100.
8.Andre Johnson Over/Under 1200Yd Rec? Last two years he has finished the year with 1598,1407 yard Rec. I’m going Under on this one but not by much.
Look for Pt.2 next week as we will cover 8 more Over/Under
Here are Dennis Farrell top add for 6/20 waiver wire pickup
So while I was working on my top 25 RB rankings for the 2014 season I got to thinking…How right are we(Industry Insiders)
and it turns out not really.. This is data from a site we all LOVE.. So much so fans have a blind devotion to the ranks and the talent. On draft day dont be a slave to the rankings.
Over the last 3 years between 6-7 RB that have been pre-ranked in the top 15 at the start of the year was NOT in the top 15 when the smoke settled . Here a look at the top 15 for the 2011,2012 and 2013 season (Not Ranked in the top 15)
2011 RB Pts (Pre-Ranked)
1.Ray Rice 300pts (5th)
2.LeSean McCoy 282pts (6th)
3.MJD 264pts (7th)
4.Arian Foster 256pts (4th)
5.Marshawn Lynch 219pts (Not Ranked)
6.Michael Turner 216pts (9th)
7.Ryan Mathews 190pts (Not Ranked)
8.Michael Bush 187pts (Not Ranked)
9.Darren Sproles 185pts (Not Ranked)
10.Steven Jackson 183pts (11th)
11.Frank Gore 180pts (10th)
12.Reggie Bush 180pts (Not Ranked)
13.Adrian Peterson 178pts (1st)
14.Fred Jackson 172pts (Not Ranked)
15.Matt Forte 170pts (14th)
—-2012 RB Pts (Pre-Rank)—-
1.Adrian Peterson 307pts (10th)
2.Doug Martin 263pts (Not Ranked)
3.Arian Foster 262pts (1st)
4. Marshwn Lynch 247pts (6th)
5.Alferd Morris 241pts (Not Ranked)
6.Ray Rice 222pts (2nd)
7.CJ Spiller 212pts (Not Ranked)
8.Jamaal Charles 205pts (9th)
9.Trent Richerson 204pts (14)
10.Frank Gore 203pts (Not Ranked)
11.Steven Ridley 199pts (Not Ranked)
12.Matt Forte 177pts (7th)
13.Chris Johnson 176pts (4th)
14.Reggie Bush 172pts (Not Ranked)
15.Shonn Greene 167pts (Not Ranked)
As you can tell its a crap shoot as to how they finish year by year.
Let take a look at the 2013 season before we get to my rankings .
—–2013 RB. Pts. (Pre-Rank)
1.Jamaal Charles 295pts (6th)
2.LeSean McCoy 262 (10th)
4.Marshawn Lynch 224pts (3rd)
5.Knowshon Moreno220pts (Not Ranked)
6.Eddie Lacy 198pts (Not Ranked)
7.Adrian Peterson 194pt (1st)
8. Chris Johnson 189pt (15th)
9.Demarco Murry 189pt (Not Ranked)
10.Fred Jackson 178pts(Not Ranked)
11.Ryan Mathews 175pts(Not Ranked)
12.Reggie Bush 174pts(Not Ranked)
13.Frank Gore 166pts (14th)
14.Alfred Morris 160pts (9th)
15.Leveon Bell 160pts (Not Ranked)
So my point is the top 15-25 has just as much value and chance to break the top 10 as guys being ranked in the top 10.
I will update my list as the days and the weeks leading up to camp so check back. (Are the ranking from two other sites)
—-2014 RB rankings—-
1.Jamaal Charles (1st,3rd)
2.LeSean McCoy (2nd,2nd)
3.Matt Forte (6th,4th)
4.Marshawn Lynch (4th,5th)
The more I think about it AP should be ranked 5th,It’s a nice safe spot for him only played 3 full season out of 7, 2011 finished 6th in Pts for RB 1st 2012 in his record breaking year but last year AP finished 7th in RB’S and 6 other WR out scored him in stranded leagues and the 7th Dez Bryant tied him in points.
6.Eddie Lacy (5th,6th)
8.Zac Stacy (9th,9th)
9.Doug Martin (10th,7th)
10.Alfred Morris (14th,12th)
14.Reggie Bush (15th,15th)
15.Demarco Murry (12th,10th)
16.CJ Spiller (16th,18th)
17.Ryan Mathews (15th,17th)
18.Ben Tate (21st,16th)
19.Andre Ellington (17th,20th)
20.Trent Richarson (21st,32nd)
21.Reshad Jennings (25th,19th)
22.Shane Vereen (22nd,26th)
23.Bishop Sankey (24th,29th)
24.Knowshon Moreno (33rd,31st)
25.Joique Bell (23rd,27th)
So keep a eye on 16-25th I have a feeling one maybe two guys sneak into my top 15.
Please help me out if you have ITunes
Head over to my show The F Word
Download , Rate 5 stars , Subscribe and leave a comment.
It’s free to you and helps us out a ton .Twitter- @Dennis77Farrell
Facebook- Dennis Farrell or Like The F Word.
The New F Word podcast is up, This week I talk Fantasy Football- I take a early look at this years ADP (Avg Draft Position) match that vs my rankings (found on this blog). Feel free to leave a question below.
Website ;http://www.thefantasychronicles.com/ (Click The F Word Podcast)
they chat about WWE and Fantasy Football .
Here’s a list of this weeks top fantasy FA that are flying under most radars.
If you guys get a chance please follow me on twitter @Dennis77Farrell
And check out my new site TheFantasyChronicles.com bookmark it and tell a friend.
Nick Castellanos 14% OF
Season- .270 R-16 HR-5 RBI-21
Nick is tied with Abreu for hits by a rookie while doing it in 10 less AB.
Nick also has a 6 game hit streak with 12 hits over that time.
Jon Singleton 62% 1B
This Astros tops prospect has only been up in the majors for a cup of coffee but he is slowly heating up .
In his six games so far he has 2 home runs 6RBI and 1 SB.
Corey Dickerson 24% OF
Season-.324 18-R HR-7 RBI-18
The kids only hitting .221 vs lefties right now but with hits in 7 of his last 8 games and 2HR and 5RBI . He might make for a great add to your bench.
Brock Holt 9% 3B
Season- .339 R-16 RBI-13
Slowly working his way to having OF eligibility for the Red Sox Holt has been unstoppable as of late with 19 hits in his last 12 games , that includes
8 game hit streak.
Cody Allen 75% RP
Slim chance he is around in your league but if he is don’t sleep on his 6 SV
Collin McHugh 54% SP
After this rush on him earlier this season Collin has been nothing but money in his last 4 starts. 23IP 5ER and 26K . That gives him 60K and a Whip of 1.03 on the year.
Henderson Alvarez 26% SP
Alvarez has Only given up one run over his last 26.1 IP and 15K
Please head over to my new site TheFantasyChronicles.com and follow me on twitter at @Dennis77Farrell
Ok guys this week I added a few guys you might want to trade as well.
Nelson Cruz 100%
Season- .314 20HR 52RBI 39Runs
I had Nelson going .270ish and 25HR
Whelp he had blown that out of the water but the downside is the Hammy issues over the last few years. I think we see a DL stint with him maybe two .
George Springer 100%
Season- .259 24Runs 10HR 29RBI
After that 7HR in 7 games everyone went nuts and picked him up .
If you own him you might want to move Springer . His value will never be higher then it is now if your lucky he will end the year with 17-20HR 60RBI and .263
Ben Revere 65%
Season .289 15SB 24-runs
65% kinda high for this list but if he is on your waver wire you must add him .
Right now Revere is killing it with a 8game hit streak with 3-SB and 13hits.
Josh Willingham 21%
Coming off of the DL on 5/25 Josh has been on fire in that 8 game span going .310(8hits) 8 RBI and 7Runs with 3HR
Roenis Elias 4% pitcher season- 65K 3.53ERA WHip 1.23
The ER won’t help you, Elias has been up and down all year. One day going 6IP 5ER and 5K the next start going 9IP 0ER and 8K. Good luck
Nathan Evoaldi 52%
His ownership has been a roller coaster going 61K 3.24ERA and 1.17 whip on the season . The bright side is over the last 3 games he has 20IP 5ER and 11K
Alright guys I’ll have new fantasy football content out this week.
Until then I need your help guys.
Any time I have ever asked for help you guys stepped up big time!!!
So I started a new website and it’s about 85% done.
Please head over check it out and add it to your favorites most of all please please tell a friend.
Hey guys I’ll post a new blog on Monday,
I want to ask everyone to check out my new website http://www.thefantasychronicles.com
you can find the blog alongside my Fox Sports Detroit videos and the podcast.
I hope you can also help me by giving me feedback on the contact us tab.